Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.635142 0.710478 0.792201 0.887599 0.996112 1.115935 1.258592
2025-02-23 0.521941 0.625795 0.747560 0.901579 1.092207 1.321692 1.620811
2025-03-02 0.443915 0.556608 0.695581 0.880926 1.123674 1.433586 1.863678
2025-03-09 0.402915 0.524201 0.680169 0.897627 1.196427 1.597611 2.185567
2025-03-16 0.362183 0.485870 0.650582 0.888977 1.230166 1.708505 2.443499
2025-03-23 0.334705 0.461531 0.635822 0.896793 1.284496 1.850198 2.758685
2025-03-30 0.305681 0.431714 0.609742 0.884388 1.306119 1.943814 3.009516
2025-04-06 0.282921 0.408474 0.590386 0.878928 1.335929 2.050599 3.291059
2025-04-13 0.254943 0.375034 0.552837 0.841653 1.311456 2.067906 3.425116
2025-04-20 0.241905 0.362884 0.546109 0.851293 1.361959 2.210209 3.787302
2025-04-27 0.230349 0.351969 0.540149 0.861137 1.412943 2.357356 4.174834
2025-05-04 0.219131 0.340636 0.532445 0.867036 1.457115 2.496211 4.563170
2025-05-11 0.207996 0.328861 0.523481 0.870627 1.498688 2.636807 4.977921
2025-05-18 0.199873 0.321436 0.521116 0.885390 1.561746 2.823744 5.510739
2025-05-25 0.186244 0.303789 0.500107 0.865067 1.557665 2.882405 5.787244
2025-06-01 0.180049 0.298313 0.499499 0.881437 1.624164 3.084892 6.396347
2025-06-08 0.170371 0.286115 0.486174 0.872962 1.641325 3.189870 6.805283
2025-06-15 0.163952 0.279189 0.481674 0.880620 1.690919 3.366302 7.401049
2025-06-22 0.155150 0.267424 0.467559 0.868466 1.698831 3.455050 7.803029
2025-06-29 0.147964 0.258135 0.457357 0.863117 1.720221 3.574964 8.297712
2025-07-06 0.137180 0.241597 0.432552 0.826593 1.671985 3.534935 8.386203
2025-07-13 0.133033 0.237178 0.430428 0.836038 1.724070 3.728105 9.103240
2025-07-20 0.129157 0.233022 0.428508 0.845684 1.777396 3.929962 9.875382